Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Revancha · every number · star deck
In Revancha under the 5/35 + 1/10 · since Jun 2025 rules — 208 draws, 1 from 1–10.
Drawn 18 times in 208 draws against 20.8 expected, −0.65σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 18 times in 208 draws · average wait 11.7 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 9 of the other 9 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | 3 | 1st | 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | 9 | 1st | 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | 8 | 1st | 1 |
| 2026-08-12 | 27 | 1st | 1 |
| 2026-06-10 | 25 | 1st | 1 |
| 2026-04-13 | 29 | 1st | 1 |
| 2026-02-02 | 4 | 1st | 1 |
| 2026-01-23 | 9 | 1st | 1 |
| 2026-01-02 | 11 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-12-08 | 4 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-11-28 | 1 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-11-26 | 30 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-09-17 | 12 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-08-20 | 2 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-08-15 | 5 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-08-04 | 4 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-07-25 | 16 | 1st | 1 |
| 2025-06-16 | — | 1st | 1 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 1/10 tonight whatever it did last week.