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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Monday, 30 December 2024

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 9
  2. 19
  3. 33
  4. 38
  5. 39
  6. 1

Jackpot$166,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,140 of 1,430 under them

← 2024-12-28All recent draws2025-01-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official9 19 33 38 39 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official9 19 33 38 39 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 19 33 38 39 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each

981times
1987times
3399times
3881times
3996times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each

142times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,139 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 33, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 December 2021 — its closest relative in 1,139 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 38–39. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.5Mto 299k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10%$150.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%$327.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball50%$760.0K
  • 4 other tiers18%$270.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance$166,000,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.62 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball3≈ 8.0 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4276≈ 199 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball577≈ 502 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,083≈ 10k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 315,319≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,902≈ 79k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball190,006≈ 190k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,319 winners, 22% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball190,006$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,902$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball11,083$7.00
Match 315,319$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball577$100
Match 4276$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball3$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$166,000,000