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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 28 December 2024

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 6
  2. 31
  3. 51
  4. 54
  5. 55
  6. 12

Jackpot$151,900,000

The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,139 of 1,432 under them

← 2024-12-25All recent draws2024-12-30 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official6 31 51 54 55 + 1223 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official6 31 51 54 55 + 1223 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 31 51 54 55 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd65th
  • low33th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 82 of each

684times
3180times
5171times
5480times
5576times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each

1235times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,138 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 51, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 October 2019 — its closest relative in 1,138 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 87% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 December 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

197

The numbers add up to 197 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 54–55. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-28

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.7Mto 627k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24%$900.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$677.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45%$1.6M
  • 4 other tiers12%$459.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance$151,900,000
  2. Match 50≈ 1.3 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 17 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4384≈ 430 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball981≈ 1.1k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,403≈ 22k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 324,732≈ 27k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball169,401≈ 171k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball410,157≈ 410k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 981 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball410,157$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball169,401$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,403$7.00
Match 324,732$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball981$100
Match 4384$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$151,900,000