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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 20 October 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 16
  2. 54
  3. 57
  4. 62
  5. 69
  6. 23

Jackpot$476,700,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 318 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-10-17All recent draws2018-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed16 54 57 62 69 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd33th
  • low10th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread66th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

1628times
5426times
5726times
6229times
69

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 76Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$24.8Mto 3.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 528%$7.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18%$4.4M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball32%$7.9M
  • 5 other tiers22%$5.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

34times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

236times

Every number was expected about that many times after 317 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (54, 62, 69) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 April 2018 — its closest relative in 317 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2018): 57, 69 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

258

The numbers add up to 258 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.26 by chance
$476,700,000
  • Match 57≈ 6.5 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball87≈ 83 by chance$50,000
  • Match 41,936≈ 2.1k by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball4,945≈ 5.2k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball102,092≈ 108k by chance$7.00
  • Match 3125,260≈ 131k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball800,840≈ 827k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,984,032≈ 2.0M by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈76M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,936 winners, 7% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,984,032$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball800,840$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball102,092$7.00
    Match 3125,260$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball4,945$100
    Match 41,936$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball87$50,000
    Match 57$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$476,700,000