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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 17 October 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 57
  3. 64
  4. 68
  5. 69
  6. 15

Jackpot$378,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 317 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-10-13All recent draws2018-10-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 57 64 68 69 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd65th
  • low10th
  • widest gap100th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

328times
5725times
6436times
6823times
69

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 47Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$13.7Mto 1.9M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 522%$3.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18%$2.5M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36%$4.9M
  • 5 other tiers24%$3.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

1514times

Every number was expected about that many times after 316 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 64, 68) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 October 2016 — its closest relative in 316 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 15 repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

261

The numbers add up to 261 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 68–69. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

68 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 39% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.16 by chance
$378,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 4.0 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball49≈ 52 by chance$50,000
  • Match 41,192≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,784≈ 3.3k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball62,066≈ 67k by chance$7.00
  • Match 375,353≈ 81k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball493,883≈ 513k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,231,138≈ 1.2M by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈47M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 2,784 winners, 14% fewer than the 3.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,231,138$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball493,883$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball62,066$7.00
    Match 375,353$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,784$100
    Match 41,192$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball49$50,000
    Match 53$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$378,000,000