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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 10 October 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 42
  5. 60
  6. 7

Jackpot$287,600,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 315 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-10-06All recent draws2018-10-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 23 27 42 60 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap27th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

817times
2334times
2724times
4220times
60

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-10

  • Lines in play≈ 22Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$7.8Mto 878k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 538%$3.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball13%$982.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball29%$2.3M
  • 5 other tiers20%$1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

18times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

712times

Every number was expected about that many times after 314 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 27, 60) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 October 2016 — its closest relative in 314 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 October 2018): 27 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

160

The numbers add up to 160 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 54 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$287,600,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.8 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 24 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4500≈ 591 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,523≈ 1.5k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball32,474≈ 31k by chance$7.00
  • Match 334,694≈ 37k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball245,644≈ 235k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball562,937≈ 563k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈22M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 500 winners, 15% fewer than the 591 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball562,937$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball245,644$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball32,474$7.00
    Match 334,694$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,523$100
    Match 4500$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18$50,000
    Match 53$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$287,600,000