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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 6 October 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 22
  3. 27
  4. 53
  5. 67
  6. 15

Jackpot$262,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 314 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-10-03All recent draws2018-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 22 27 53 67 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap64th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

121times
2223times
2723times
5323times
67

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-06

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$6.5Mto 720k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 531%$2.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20%$1.3M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball29%$1.9M
  • 5 other tiers21%$1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

22times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 12 of each

1512times

Every number was expected about that many times after 313 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (53, 67) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 August 2018 — its closest relative in 313 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2018): 53 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

170

The numbers add up to 170 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$262,300,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.5 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26≈ 20 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4433≈ 491 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,222≈ 1.2k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,010≈ 26k by chance$7.00
  • Match 330,585≈ 31k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball195,050≈ 195k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball467,502≈ 468k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 25,010 winners, 2% fewer than the 26k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball467,502$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball195,050$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,010$7.00
    Match 330,585$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,222$100
    Match 4433$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26$50,000
    Match 52$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$262,300,000