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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 25 July 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 18
  3. 41
  4. 44
  5. 64
  6. 26

Jackpot$149,600,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 293 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-07-21All recent draws2018-07-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 18 41 44 64 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd10th
  • low33th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

216times
1820times
4126times
4422times
64

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-25

  • Lines in play≈ 14Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.0Mto 577k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 525%$1.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%$628.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38%$1.5M
  • 5 other tiers21%$828.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

32times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

269times

Every number was expected about that many times after 292 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (41, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 July 2018 — its closest relative in 292 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

169

The numbers add up to 169 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$149,600,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.2 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8≈ 16 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4338≈ 394 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball892≈ 992 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,919≈ 21k by chance$7.00
  • Match 323,652≈ 25k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball157,110≈ 156k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball375,174≈ 375k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 892 winners, 10% fewer than the 992 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball375,174$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball157,110$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,919$7.00
    Match 323,652$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball892$100
    Match 4338$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball8$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$149,600,000