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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 21 July 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 23
  3. 56
  4. 58
  5. 68
  6. 1

Jackpot$131,900,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 292 of 1,432 under them

← 2018-07-18All recent draws2018-07-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 23 56 58 68 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd33th
  • low33th
  • widest gap86th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

924times
2333times
5622times
5815times
68

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.9Mto 525k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 526%$1.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball15%$563.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35%$1.4M
  • 5 other tiers24%$943.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

21times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

18times

Every number was expected about that many times after 291 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (23, 56) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 June 2018 — its closest relative in 291 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 July 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

214

The numbers add up to 214 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

68 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$131,900,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.1 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11≈ 14 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4339≈ 360 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball850≈ 908 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,796≈ 19k by chance$7.00
  • Match 321,421≈ 23k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball140,836≈ 143k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball343,434≈ 343k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 850 winners, 6% fewer than the 908 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball343,434$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball140,836$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,796$7.00
    Match 321,421$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball850$100
    Match 4339$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$131,900,000