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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 4 October 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 23
  3. 62
  4. 63
  5. 66
  6. 24

Jackpot$95,500,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 209 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-09-30All recent draws2017-10-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 23 62 63 66 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd33th
  • low33th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

2214times
2324times
6221times
6320times
66

Prize breakdown · 2017-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.3Mto 385k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24%$550.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$400.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46%$1.0M
  • 4 other tiers12%$274.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

16times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

249times

Every number was expected about that many times after 208 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 23, 62) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 April 2017 — its closest relative in 208 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

236

The numbers add up to 236 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23, 62–63. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$95,500,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.84 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11≈ 11 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4271≈ 270 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball570≈ 680 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,372≈ 14k by chance$7.00
  • Match 314,853≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball100,136≈ 107k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball256,997≈ 257k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 570 winners, 16% fewer than the 680 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball256,997$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball100,136$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,372$7.00
    Match 314,853$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball570$100
    Match 4271$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$95,500,000