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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 30 September 2017

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 25
  4. 41
  5. 64
  6. 15

Jackpot$81,600,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 208 of 1,430 under them

← 2017-09-27All recent draws2017-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 25 41 64 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

812times
1216times
2517times
4118times
64

Prize breakdown · 2017-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.4Mto 425k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21%$500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%$472.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45%$1.1M
  • 4 other tiers15%$364.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

24times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

159times

Every number was expected about that many times after 207 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (8, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 September 2017 — its closest relative in 207 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 September 2017): 8, 25 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$81,600,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.88 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10≈ 11 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4309≈ 283 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball799≈ 712 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,956≈ 15k by chance$7.00
  • Match 320,261≈ 18k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball118,130≈ 112k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball269,384≈ 269k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 20,261 winners, 14% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball269,384$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball118,130$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,956$7.00
    Match 320,261$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball799$100
    Match 4309$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball10$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$81,600,000