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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 2 March 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 13
  3. 44
  4. 52
  5. 62
  6. 6

Jackpot$291,400,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 43 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-02-27All recent draws2016-03-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 13 44 52 62 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd10th
  • low33th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

126times
132times
442times
525times
62

Prize breakdown · 2016-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 21Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$297.1Mto 855k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball98%$291.4M
  • Match 50.3%$1.0M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0.7%$2.2M
  • 6 other tiers0.8%$2.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

5times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

63times

Every number was expected about that many times after 42 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (13, 52) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 February 2016 — its closest relative in 42 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 February 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

183

The numbers add up to 183 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.07 by chance
$291,400,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.8 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 23 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4494≈ 583 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,338≈ 1.5k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball29,583≈ 30k by chance$7.00
  • Match 334,084≈ 37k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball232,926≈ 232k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball556,092≈ 556k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 494 winners, 15% fewer than the 583 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball556,092$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball232,926$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball29,583$7.00
    Match 334,084$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,338$100
    Match 4494$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1$291,400,000