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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 27 February 2016

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 53
  6. 18

Jackpot$266,000,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 42 of 1,430 under them

← 2016-02-24All recent draws2016-03-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 21 22 53 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 February 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours99th
  • spread36th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

102times
112times
211time
222times
53

Prize breakdown · 2016-02-27

  • Lines in play≈ 20Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$8.2Mto 821k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 537%$3.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18%$1.5M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%$2.1M
  • 5 other tiers20%$1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

182times

Every number was expected about that many times after 41 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 February 2016 — its closest relative in 41 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 February 2016): 21 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 21–22. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

53 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$266,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.7 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 22 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4731≈ 541 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,511≈ 1.4k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball32,248≈ 28k by chance$7.00
  • Match 343,218≈ 34k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball227,512≈ 215k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball515,282≈ 515k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈20M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 731 winners, 35% more than the 541 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball515,282$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball227,512$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball32,248$7.00
    Match 343,218$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,511$100
    Match 4731$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29$50,000
    Match 53$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$266,000,000