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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 3 January 2015

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 18
  3. 43
  4. 46
  5. 55
  6. 25

Jackpot$131,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015draw 310 of 388 under them

← 2014-12-31All recent draws2015-01-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 18 43 46 55 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Powerball was a 5/59 + 1/35 · Jan 2012 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 309 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours35th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

421times
1821times
4322times
4626times
5532times
Stars · a separate 1-of-35 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

257times

Every number was expected about that many times after 309 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (43, 55) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 December 2014 — its closest relative in 309 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 37% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (3% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

166

The numbers add up to 166 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 31% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 12 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2015-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 13Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.2Mto 407k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 32lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 531%$1.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball15%$467.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30%$952.6K
  • 5 other tiers24%$770.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance$131,000,000
  2. Match 51≈ 2.6 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26≈ 20 by chance$10,000
  4. Match 4572≈ 691 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,004≈ 1.1k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,571≈ 19k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 332,805≈ 37k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball116,908≈ 119k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball238,139≈ 238k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 572 winners, 17% fewer than the 691 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball238,139$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball116,908$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,571$7.00
Match 332,805$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,004$100
Match 4572$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball26$10,000
Match 51$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$131,000,000