In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Nov 2025 rules — 215 draws, 1 from 1–15.
13times drawn · chance expected 14 −0.36σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
17.0average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
43longest completed wait · 49% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 13 times in 215 draws against 14.3 expected, −0.36σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 13 times in 215 draws · average wait 17.0 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.