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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Nov 2025 rules — 217 draws, 1 from 1–15.
Drawn 14 times in 217 draws against 14.5 expected, −0.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 14 times in 217 draws · average wait 15.8 draws · longest completed wait 92 · waiting 11 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | 16 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | 4 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | 1 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | 9 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | 28 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-08-03 | 6 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | 2 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | 3 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-07-23 | 16 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-07-07 | 1 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-07-06 | 10 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-06-26 | 17 | 1st | 3 |
| 2026-06-09 | 92 | 1st | 3 |
| 2025-11-18 | — | 1st | 3 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.