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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · NY · ball game
Latest drawWednesday, 14 October 2026
Jackpot$57,576
Top prizeNot won — 2 draws unwon
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 15 Oct 2026, 14:22 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–39. 6,994 draws held here since 2010-04-07.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Take 5 come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Take 5 already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 6,994 draws every number is expected about 897 times, and a ball favoured by more than 13% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 23 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 100, give or take 24. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

43.6% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

741 possible pairs, each expected together 94.4 times so far — and about 7 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 39 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

52% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 100.0% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 6.7 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 32 draws for every one of the 39 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

575,757 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 6,994 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 33. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/39 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 2% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/39 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI
This game draws more than once. Each draw is its own record, read on its own: mixing them would put one draw’s numbers above another draw’s prize table.

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 5-of-39 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,284 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 37) with the draw of 19 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,284 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 October 2026): 37 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 102 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈212k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 1,936 winners, 6% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 0 | $57,576 |
| Match 4 | 62 | $712 |
| Match 3 | 1,936 | $22.50 |
| Match 2 | 21,999 | $1.00 |
| Totals | 23,997 | — |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 4 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 3.5 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 6.3 |
| 1 | 9 | 4.9 |
| 2 | 3 | 3.8 |
| 3 | 5 | 2.9 |
| 4 | 0 | 2.3 |
| 5 | 0 | 1.8 |
| 6 | 2 | 1.4 |
| 7 | 1 | 1.1 |
| 8 | 1 | 0.8 |
| 9 | 2 | 0.6 |
| 10+ | 2 | 2.2 |
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 15 Oct 2026, 14:22 UTC.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,283 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,282 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 37, 38) with the draw of 7 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,282 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 October 2026): 37 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 106 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 37–38. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,281 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 16, 17, 36) with the draw of 25 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,281 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 October 2026): 37 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17, 36–37. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,280 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 14, 37) with the draw of 19 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,280 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 88 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,279 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 16, 38) with the draw of 23 October 2025 — its closest relative in 1,279 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2026): 16, 36 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 97 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,278 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 32, 36) with the draw of 14 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,278 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 October 2026): 11, 13 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 108 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,277 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 11, 13) with the draw of 14 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,277 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): 28 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 64 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,276 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (25, 28, 32, 39) with the draw of 11 August 2025 — its closest relative in 1,276 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 163 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,275 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 10, 20, 33) with the draw of 18 March 2026 — its closest relative in 1,275 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 67 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 163 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,274 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 14, 17, 21) with the draw of 13 October 2025 — its closest relative in 1,274 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 32% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 October 2026): 14 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 95 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 163 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,273 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 14, 18, 36) with the draw of 25 September 2023 — its closest relative in 1,273 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 31% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): 31, 36 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →