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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Monday, 15 May 2023

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 15
  3. 29
  4. 33
  5. 35

Jackpot$35,407

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 429 of 7,034 under them

← 2023-05-14All recent draws2023-05-16 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 4
    2. 17
    3. 19
    4. 27
    5. 34

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 15 29 33 3529 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd99th
  • low31th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

751times
1549times
2941times
3353times
3548times

Every number was expected about that many times after 428 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 33, 35) with the draw of 19 September 2022 — its closest relative in 428 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 400kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$217.5Kto 45k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 52 winnerschance said 0.69

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$53.1K
  • Match 340%$87.4K
  • Match 219%$41.6K
  • 1 other tier16%$35.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 52≈ 0.69 by chance$17,704
  2. Match 4105≈ 118 by chance$506
  3. Match 33,642≈ 3.9k by chance$24.00
  4. Match 241,572≈ 42k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈400k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,642 winners, 7% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 52$17,704
Match 4105$506
Match 33,642$24.00
Match 241,572$1.00
Totals45,321—