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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Sunday, 14 May 2023

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 16
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 30

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 428 of 7,034 under them

← 2023-05-13All recent draws2023-05-15 →

Also drawn that day

  • midday
    1. 9
    2. 14
    3. 24
    4. 26
    5. 34

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 16 21 24 3029 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd9th
  • low31th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

842times
1663times
2162times
2463times
3048times

Every number was expected about that many times after 427 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 16, 21) with the draw of 7 November 2022 — its closest relative in 427 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2023): 16, 30 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 353kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$195.2Kto 40k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.61

Where the money went

  • Match 441%$80K
  • Match 340%$78.4K
  • Match 219%$36.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.61 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 495≈ 104 by chance$843
  3. Match 33,268≈ 3.4k by chance$24.00
  4. Match 236,733≈ 37k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈353k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 3,268 winners, 5% fewer than the 3.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 495$843
Match 33,268$24.00
Match 236,733$1.00
Totals40,096—