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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Thursday, 23 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 11
  3. 12
  4. 36
  5. 39

Jackpot$42,385

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 60 of 7,036 under them

← 2021-09-22All recent draws2021-09-24 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 4
    2. 16
    3. 24
    4. 31
    5. 38

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 11 12 36 3929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

65times
118times
127times
364times
399times

Every number was expected about that many times after 59 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 36, 39) with the draw of 13 August 2021 — its closest relative in 59 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 45% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 September 2021): 39 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-23

  • Lines in play≈ 475kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$260.8Kto 54k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.83

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$63.6K
  • Match 340%$105.5K
  • Match 219%$49.4K
  • 1 other tier16%$42.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.83 by chance$42,385
  2. Match 4132≈ 140 by chance$482
  3. Match 34,396≈ 4.6k by chance$24.00
  4. Match 249,388≈ 49k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈475k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,396 winners, 5% fewer than the 4.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$42,385
Match 4132$482
Match 34,396$24.00
Match 249,388$1.00
Totals53,917—