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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Wednesday, 22 September 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 26
  5. 39

Jackpot$43,452

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 59 of 7,036 under them

← 2021-09-21All recent draws2021-09-23 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 5
    2. 11
    3. 27
    4. 29
    5. 33

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 23 25 26 3929 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd89th
  • low9th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

98times
2312times
259times
265times
398times

Every number was expected about that many times after 58 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (9, 26) with the draw of 10 September 2021 — its closest relative in 58 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 September 2021): 23 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

122

The numbers add up to 122 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-22

  • Lines in play≈ 496kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$266.5Kto 56k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 52 winnerschance said 0.86

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$65.2K
  • Match 340%$106.4K
  • Match 219%$51.5K
  • 1 other tier16%$43.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 52≈ 0.86 by chance$21,726
  2. Match 4133≈ 146 by chance$490
  3. Match 34,727≈ 4.8k by chance$22.50
  4. Match 251,515≈ 52k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈496k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 4,727 winners, 2% fewer than the 4.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 52$21,726
Match 4133$490
Match 34,727$22.50
Match 251,515$1.00
Totals56,377—