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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Thursday, 5 August 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 21
  3. 25
  4. 26
  5. 28

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 11 of 7,028 under them

← 2021-08-04All recent draws2021-08-06 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 4
    2. 8
    3. 9
    4. 18
    5. 33

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 21 25 26 2829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum58th
  • odd64th
  • low9th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

54times
213times
252times
261time
282times

Every number was expected about that many times after 10 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (21, 25) with the draw of 3 August 2021 — its closest relative in 10 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 August 2021): 25 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-05

  • Lines in play≈ 522kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$276Kto 60k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 0.91

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$111.5K
  • Match 340%$110.1K
  • Match 220%$54.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 0.91 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4157≈ 154 by chance$711
  3. Match 35,245≈ 5.1k by chance$21.00
  4. Match 254,302≈ 54k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈522k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,245 winners, 3% more than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 50$57,576
Match 4157$711
Match 35,245$21.00
Match 254,302$1.00
Totals59,704—