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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw · evening

Wednesday, 4 August 2021

eveningTake 5

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 4
  4. 23
  5. 25

Jackpot$44,933

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 10 of 7,028 under them

← 2021-08-03All recent draws2021-08-05 →

Also drawn that day

  • 14 30
    1. 5
    2. 6
    3. 8
    4. 18
    5. 38

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 4 23 2529 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum3th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 1 of each

11time
20times
40times
231time
251time

Every number was expected about that many times after 9 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 1 of 5 numbers (25) with the draw of 3 August 2021 — its closest relative in 9 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2021): 25 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

55

The numbers add up to 55 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 520kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$278.6Kto 60k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 0.90

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$67.4K
  • Match 340%$112.2K
  • Match 219%$54K
  • 1 other tier16%$44.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 0.90 by chance$44,933
  2. Match 4132≈ 154 by chance$511
  3. Match 35,612≈ 5.1k by chance$20.00
  4. Match 254,047≈ 54k by chance$1.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈520k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,612 winners, 11% more than the 5.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 51$44,933
Match 4132$511
Match 35,612$20.00
Match 254,047$1.00
Totals59,792—