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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Sunday, 4 August 2019

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 27
  4. 35
  5. 38

Jackpot$57,576

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,406 of 6,988 under them

← 2019-08-03All recent draws2019-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 27 35 3829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 437 of each

7454times
8423times
27443times
35442times
38

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 665kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$343.2Kto 75k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 50 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 440%$138.1K
  • Match 340%$136.0K
  • Match 220%$69.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 50≈ 1.2 by chance$57,576
  2. Match 4

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

420times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,405 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 27, 38) with the draw of 26 July 2019 — its closest relative in 3,405 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2019): 27 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
173≈ 196 by chance
$798
  • Match 35,913≈ 6.5k by chance$23.00
  • Match 269,101≈ 69k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈665k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 5,913 winners, 9% fewer than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 50$57,576
    Match 4173$798
    Match 35,913$23.00
    Match 269,101$1.00
    Totals75,187—