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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Saturday, 3 August 2019

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 20
  3. 21
  4. 27
  5. 34

Jackpot$64,320

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,405 of 6,988 under them

← 2019-08-02All recent draws2019-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 20 21 27 3429 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 436 of each

17502times
20417times
21429times
27442times
34

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-03

  • Lines in play≈ 743kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$397.1Kto 85k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$96.5K
  • Match 340%$159.1K
  • Match 219%$77.2K
  • 1 other tier16%$64.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance$64,320

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

440times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,404 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 27, 34) with the draw of 12 July 2019 — its closest relative in 3,404 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 August 2019): 20 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4221≈ 219 by chance$437
  • Match 37,231≈ 7.2k by chance$22.00
  • Match 277,209≈ 77k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈743k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,231 winners, 0% fewer than the 7.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$64,320
    Match 4221$437
    Match 37,231$22.00
    Match 277,209$1.00
    Totals84,662—