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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Sunday, 21 October 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 15
  3. 22
  4. 23
  5. 28

Jackpot$55,396

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,119 of 6,990 under them

← 2018-10-20All recent draws2018-10-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 15 22 23 2829 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 400 of each

12400times
15431times
22408times
23400times
28

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 696kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$346.2Kto 80k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$83.0K
  • Match 339%$135.4K
  • Match 221%$72.4K
  • 1 other tier16%$55.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.2 by chance$55,396

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

362times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,118 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 22, 28) with the draw of 7 September 2018 — its closest relative in 3,118 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 October 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

100

The numbers add up to 100 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4197≈ 206 by chance$422
  • Match 36,946≈ 6.8k by chance$19.50
  • Match 272,356≈ 72k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈696k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,946 winners, 2% more than the 6.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$55,396
    Match 4197$422
    Match 36,946$19.50
    Match 272,356$1.00
    Totals79,500—