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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Saturday, 20 October 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 14
  3. 21
  4. 29
  5. 30

Jackpot$66,072

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,118 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-10-19All recent draws2018-10-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 14 21 29 3029 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 400 of each

10419times
14399times
21386times
29404times
30

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-20

  • Lines in play≈ 777kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$409.6Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 53 winnerschance said 1.4

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$99.1K
  • Match 340%$163.6K
  • Match 220%$80.8K
  • 1 other tier16%$66.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 53≈ 1.4 by chance$22,024

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

361times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,117 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 21, 30) with the draw of 28 September 2017 — its closest relative in 3,117 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2018): 10, 14 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4211≈ 230 by chance$470
  • Match 37,273≈ 7.6k by chance$22.50
  • Match 280,788≈ 81k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈777k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 7,273 winners, 4% fewer than the 7.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 53$22,024
    Match 4211$470
    Match 37,273$22.50
    Match 280,788$1.00
    Totals88,275—