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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Take 5 · draw

Sunday, 30 September 2018

ResultTake 5

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 34

Jackpot$57,968

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 3,098 of 6,988 under them

← 2018-09-29All recent draws2018-10-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:51 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 21 22 3429 Aug 2026, 09:33 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 397 of each

3381times
17457times
21383times
22407times
34

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 684kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$358.4Kto 78k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 51 winnerchance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 424%$86.9K
  • Match 340%$142.3K
  • Match 220%$71.1K
  • 1 other tier16%$58.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. Match 51≈ 1.2 by chance$57,968

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

397times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,097 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 17, 22, 34) with the draw of 10 December 2015 — its closest relative in 3,097 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 September 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • Match 4184≈ 202 by chance$473
  • Match 36,325≈ 6.7k by chance$22.50
  • Match 271,136≈ 71k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈684k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,325 winners, 5% fewer than the 6.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 51$57,968
    Match 4184$473
    Match 36,325$22.50
    Match 271,136$1.00
    Totals77,646—