Thursday, 20 April 2023

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 8, 34, 38) with the draw of 9 July 2018 — its closest relative in 4,048 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 April 2023): 4, 8, 38 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 85 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.