Thursday, 12 May 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 14, 15, 34) with the draw of 12 June 2018 — its closest relative in 3,705 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 106 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.