Monday, 24 June 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 31, 35) with the draw of 15 August 2015 — its closest relative in 2,652 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 58% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 June 2019): 4, 35 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 130 — the 91th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.