Saturday, 6 August 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 21, 33) with the draw of 6 April 2011 — its closest relative in 139 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 August 2011): 19, 33 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 101 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 95. No two numbers side by side. 46% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.