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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In MO Millions under the 6/42 · since Nov 2025 rules — 99 draws, 6 from 1–42.
Drawn 17 times in 99 draws against 14.1 expected, +0.82σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 17 times in 99 draws · average wait 5.9 draws · longest completed wait 17 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 41 numbers; chance expects about 5 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 42. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | 3 | 1st | 101419263742 |
| 2026-09-26 | 4 | 1st | 102733384041 |
| 2026-09-12 | 13 | 3rd | 3610263340 |
| 2026-07-29 | 6 | 2nd | 71011202940 |
| 2026-07-08 | 17 | 2nd | 51015293540 |
| 2026-05-09 | 1 | 3rd | 1510131642 |
| 2026-05-06 | 13 | 1st | 101115323334 |
| 2026-03-21 | 2 | 1st | 101417293739 |
| 2026-03-14 | 15 | 2nd | 61013142829 |
| 2026-01-21 | 4 | 2nd | 81011172329 |
| 2026-01-07 | 3 | 1st | 101830343541 |
| 2025-12-27 | 5 | 3rd | 4810243035 |
| 2025-12-10 | 5 | 3rd | 1710132040 |
| 2025-11-22 | 1 | 3rd | 1710111725 |
| 2025-11-19 | 1 | 1st | 101315273340 |
| 2025-11-15 | 1 | 1st | 101315172441 |
| 2025-11-12 | — | 3rd | 2410162535 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/42 tonight whatever it did last week.