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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Every number
How often each number has come up, next to how often chance says it should. Any number opens its own page. Back to MO Millions
Only 198 draws in this format era, so each number is expected just 28.3 times. That is too few to tell a real pattern from noise; about 210 draws are needed.
No source told us how many balls this draw uses, so we took the highest number we have actually seen drawn (42). If a ball has never come up, the real pool is larger and every expected frequency below is slightly overstated. Treat the comparison as indicative.
Across 198 draws, each number is expected about 28 times. 28 numbers look unusual on their own — but testing all 42 numbers at once means about 0.4 should look that way by luck alone, so the threshold tightens to 2.4e-4.
| Number | Drawn | Expected | Deviation | σ | Last seen | Draws since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 28.3 | -1.48 | 2026-09-19 | 6 | |
| 9 | 18 | 28.3 | -2.09 | 2026-10-10 | 0 | |
| 21 | 18 | 28.3 | -2.09 | 2026-10-10 | 0 | |
| 34 | 18 | 28.3 | -2.09 | 2026-09-05 | 10 | |
| 40 | 18 | 28.3 | -2.09 | 2026-09-30 | 3 | |
| 10 | 17 | 28.3 | -2.29 | 2026-10-07 | 1 | |
| 11 | 17 | 28.3 | -2.29 | 2026-09-23 | 5 | |
| 15 | 17 | 28.3 | -2.29 | 2026-10-03 | 2 | |
| 23 | 17 | 28.3 | -2.29 | 2026-09-09 | 9 | |
| 32 | 17 | 28.3 | -2.29 | 2026-10-03 | 2 | |
| 39 | 17 | 28.3 | -2.29 | 2026-10-10 | 0 | |
| 6 | 16 | 28.3 | -2.50 | 2026-09-16 | 7 | |
| 13 | 16 | 28.3 | -2.50 | 2026-08-08 | 18 | |
| 14 | 16 | 28.3 | -2.50 | 2026-10-07 | 1 | |
| 4 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-09-16 | 7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-10-10 | 0 | |
| 16 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-10-10 | 0 | |
| 17 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-07-11 | 26 | |
| 18 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-09-19 | 6 | |
| 19 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-10-07 | 1 | |
| 20 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-09-05 | 10 | |
| 26 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-10-07 | 1 | |
| 35 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-09-02 | 11 | |
| 36 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-10-10 | 0 | |
| 41 | 15 | 28.3 | -2.70 | 2026-10-03 | 2 | |
| 25 | 14 | 28.3 | -2.90 | 2026-10-03 | 2 | |
| 33 | 14 | 28.3 | -2.90 | 2026-09-26 | 4 | |
| 29 | 13 | 28.3 | -3.10 | 2026-07-29 | 21 | |
| 5 | 12 | 28.3 | -3.31 | 2026-08-12 | 17 | |
| 22 | 12 | 28.3 | -3.31 | 2026-09-30 | 3 | |
| 27 | 12 | 28.3 | -3.31 | 2026-09-26 | 4 | |
| 37 | 12 | 28.3 | -3.31 | 2026-10-07 | 1 | |
| 38 | 12 | 28.3 | -3.31 | 2026-10-03 | 2 | |
| 8 | 11 | 28.3 | -3.51 | 2026-09-05 | 10 | |
| 28 | 11 | 28.3 | -3.51 | 2026-09-23 | 5 | |
| 42 | 11 | 28.3 | -3.51 | 2026-10-07 | 1 | |
| 2 | 10 | 28.3 | -3.71 | 2026-09-23 | 5 | |
| 24 | 10 | 28.3 | -3.71 | 2026-08-29 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 28.3 | -3.92 | 2026-09-30 | 3 | |
| 31 | 9 | 28.3 | -3.92 | 2026-08-29 | 12 | |
| 3 | 8 | 28.3 | -4.12 | 2026-09-23 | 5 | |
| 30 | 6 | 28.3 | -4.53 | 2026-09-09 | 9 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. Each draw is independent: a number absent for fifty draws is exactly as likely to appear tonight as one drawn yesterday. The point of comparing against expectation is to show when a difference is ordinary — which, in a fair draw, it almost always is.