Number 4

In Poker Lotto under the 5/13 · since Aug 2025 rules — 429 draws, 5 from 1–13.

176times drawn · chance expected 165 +1.09σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

2.4average wait between appearances · chance says 2.6

12longest completed wait · 57% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 176 times in 429 draws against 165.0 expected, +1.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 176 times in 429 draws · average wait 2.4 draws · longest completed wait 12 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest67 · chance 44.8
2nd smallest85 · chance 89.6
3rd smallest24 · chance 38.4
4th smallest0 · chance 3.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 58.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 9 8 13 12 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 12 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 13. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	1	1st	4 5 10 11 13
2026-10-09	4	2nd	3 4 10 12 13
2026-10-05	2	3rd	1 3 4 9 12
2026-10-03	2	1st	4 6 11

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/13 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-08-21	2	3rd	2 3 4 5 8
2026-08-19	3	3rd	1 3 4 10 13
2026-08-16	1	2nd	1 4 5 6 12
2026-08-15	0	2nd	1 4 7 13
2026-08-15	1	2nd	1 4 7 13
2026-08-14	2	2nd	1 4 9 11 12
2026-08-12	2	1st	4 5 5 9 13
2026-08-10	6	3rd	2 3 4 12 12
2026-08-04	3	3rd	2 3 4 9 10
2026-08-01	3	2nd	2 4 5 6 9
2026-07-29	3	1st	4 8 9 9 10
2026-07-26	1	2nd	2 4 8 9 13
2026-07-25	2	2nd	1 4 5 8 9
2026-07-23	2	2nd	2 4 8 9 13
2026-07-21	2	2nd	1 4 5 5 7
2026-07-19	10	2nd	1 4 5 10 12
2026-07-09	4	2nd	2 4 5 9 13
2026-07-05	2	2nd	2 4 9 10 13
2026-07-03	0	1st	4 5 7 9
2026-07-03	1	1st	4 5 7 9
2026-07-02	1	2nd	1 4 11 11 13
2026-07-01	0	1st	4 9 11 12
2026-07-01	1	1st	4 9 11 12
2026-06-30	2	2nd	3 4 6 6 10
2026-06-28	2	3rd	1 2 4 7 9
2026-06-26	2	2nd	3 4 5 6 6
2026-06-24	0	2nd	2 4 8 12
2026-06-24	3	2nd	2 4 8 12
2026-06-21	2	2nd	2 4 8 9 10
2026-06-19	2	2nd	1 4 12 13 13
2026-06-17	1	2nd	1 4 8 10 10
2026-06-16	4	2nd	2 4 6 9 11
2026-06-12	4	2nd	3 4 7 11 11
2026-06-08	2	1st	4 7 8 12 12
2026-06-06	1	2nd	2 4 7 8 9
2026-06-05	1	2nd	1 4 5 7 13
2026-06-04	1	2nd	1 4 6 10 11
2026-06-03	1	3rd	1 2 4 7 9
2026-06-02	2	1st	4 7 9 12 13
2026-05-31	4	1st	4 5 6 7 9
2026-05-27	2	3rd	2 3 4 9 13
2026-05-25	4	3rd	3 3 4 12 12
2026-05-21	1	2nd	1 4 6 9 13
2026-05-20	2	2nd	2 4 7 7 13
2026-05-18	3	2nd	1 4 6 8 12
2026-05-15	4	2nd	1 4 7 11 11
2026-05-11	0	1st	4 5 7 11
2026-05-11	1	1st	4 5 7 11
2026-05-10	0	3rd	2 3 4 5
2026-05-10	2	3rd	2 3 4 5
2026-05-08	2	2nd	2 4 7 10 12
2026-05-06	7	1st	4 5 5 7 10
2026-04-29	4	2nd	3 4 8 9 10
2026-04-25	3	2nd	1 4 10 10 13
2026-04-22	1	1st	4 5 6 10 13
2026-04-21	10	1st	4 7 7 11 13
2026-04-11	3	2nd	1 4 6 9 12
2026-04-08	6	2nd	1 4 5 11 13
2026-04-02	9	2nd	1 4 5 10 12
2026-03-24	1	2nd	3 4 6 9 11
2026-03-23	3	2nd	3 4 11 13 13
2026-03-20	4	3rd	1 3 4 7 10
2026-03-16	1	3rd	2 2 4 9 11
2026-03-15	7	2nd	2 4 8 12 12
2026-03-08	0	2nd	3 4 8 11
2026-03-08	4	2nd	3 4 8 11
2026-03-04	2	2nd	3 4 7 8 12
2026-03-02	1	2nd	2 4 8 11 13
2026-03-01	2	2nd	3 4 8 11 11
2026-02-27	0	1st	4 5 10 13
2026-02-27	1	1st	4 5 10 13
2026-02-26	0	2nd	1 4 8 13
2026-02-26	1	2nd	1 4 8 13
2026-02-25	2	3rd	2 3 4 7 12
2026-02-23	0	2nd	3 4 9
2026-02-23	0	2nd	3 4 9
2026-02-23	6	2nd	3 4 9
2026-02-17	2	1st	4 9 10 12 13
2026-02-15	5	2nd	2 4 8 8 10
2026-02-10	3	2nd	2 4 5 6 9
2026-02-07	1	3rd	2 3 4 7 10
2026-02-06	0	2nd	2 4 9 10
2026-02-06	1	2nd	2 4 9 10
2026-02-05	9	2nd	1 4 5 6 11
2026-01-27	1	1st	4 7 8 9 10
2026-01-26	1	1st	4 5 7 8 10
2026-01-25	6	1st	4 5 6 7 13
2026-01-19	0	1st	4 6 7 12
2026-01-19	3	1st	4 6 7 12
2026-01-16	1	3rd	1 2 4 12 13
2026-01-15	0	3rd	2 3 4 12
2026-01-15	1	3rd	2 3 4 12
2026-01-14	1	2nd	3 4 9 10 13
2026-01-13	0	1st	4 8 10 12
2026-01-13	2	1st	4 8 10 12
2026-01-11	3	2nd	1 4 6 8 12
2026-01-08	0	1st	4 7 10 11
2026-01-08	1	1st	4 7 10 11
2026-01-07	0	1st	4 5 7 12
2026-01-07	1	1st	4 5 7 12
2026-01-06	8	2nd	2 4 7 10 11
2025-12-29	1	2nd	1 4 6 11 13
2025-12-28	1	2nd	3 4 7 11 12
2025-12-27	2	1st	4 5 6 8 9
2025-12-25	3	2nd	2 4 5 8 13
2025-12-22	1	1st	4 8 8 9 12
2025-12-21	1	3rd	2 3 4 6 11
2025-12-20	1	1st	4 6 9 9 11
2025-12-19	7	2nd	2 4 7 8 9
2025-12-12	2	2nd	1 4 5 7 13
2025-12-10	1	1st	4 7 8 11 12
2025-12-09	1	1st	4 5 6 7 8
2025-12-08	1	3rd	1 3 4 5 9
2025-12-07	1	2nd	3 4 5 8 13
2025-12-06	2	1st	4 7 9 12 12
2025-12-04	3	1st	4 5 10 11 13
2025-12-01	2	1st	4 7 8 8 9
2025-11-29	1	1st	4 5 8 8 12
2025-11-28	4	2nd	2 4 8 12 13
2025-11-24	1	1st	4 8 9 11 13
2025-11-23	2	1st	4 6 6 7 11
2025-11-21	1	2nd	3 4 7 8 9
2025-11-20	3	1st	4 6 10 12 13
2025-11-17	0	1st	4 6 8 12
2025-11-17	6	1st	4 6 8 12
2025-11-11	0	2nd	1 4 13 13
2025-11-11	4	2nd	1 4 13 13
2025-11-07	1	2nd	2 4 9 10 11
2025-11-06	6	2nd	3 4 8 9 11
2025-10-31	9	1st	4 6 10 11 11
2025-10-22	2	1st	4 5 5 8 9
2025-10-20	4	2nd	3 4 5 6 7
2025-10-16	5	2nd	1 4 6 7 10
2025-10-11	0	2nd	1 4 10 12
2025-10-11	6	2nd	1 4 10 12
2025-10-05	3	2nd	3 4 9 11 11
2025-10-02	4	1st	4 8 9 11 11
2025-09-28	1	3rd	2 3 4 8 11
2025-09-27	6	1st	4 8 10 11 13
2025-09-21	2	1st	4 10 11 12 13
2025-09-19	3	1st	4 5 6 7 9
2025-09-16	6	2nd	3 4 7 8 12
2025-09-10	2	1st	4 6 6 12 13
2025-09-08	1	1st	4 6 6 7 13
2025-09-07	12	2nd	2 4 8 9 11
2025-08-26	1	2nd	3 4 9 10 12
2025-08-25	2	1st	4 5 10 13 13
2025-08-23	1	2nd	2 4 10 11 12
2025-08-22	2	3rd	1 3 4 7 13
2025-08-20	5	2nd	3 4 7 10 10
2025-08-15	3	3rd	1 2 4 8 13
2025-08-12	—	2nd	1 4 5 7 9