Number 10

In Poker Lotto under the 5/13 · since Aug 2025 rules — 429 draws, 5 from 1–13.

155times drawn · chance expected 165 −0.99σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

2.7average wait between appearances · chance says 2.6

16longest completed wait · 10% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 155 times in 429 draws against 165.0 expected, −0.99σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 155 times in 429 draws · average wait 2.7 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest8 · chance 2.8
3rd smallest40 · chance 33.8
4th smallest71 · chance 78.9
5th smallest36 · chance 39.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 51.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 4 13 2 1 9

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 12 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 13. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	1	3rd	4 5 10 11 13
2026-10-09	5	3rd	3 4 10 12 13
2026-10-04	3	5th	1 2 6 9 10
2026-10-01	1	4th	3 4 7

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/13 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-07-19	2	4th	1 4 5 10 12
2026-07-17	2	4th	6 6 9 10 13
2026-07-15	3	3rd	2 3 10 11 12
2026-07-12	4	4th	3 8 8 10 12
2026-07-08	0	3rd	5 9 10 13
2026-07-08	3	3rd	5 9 10 13
2026-07-05	1	4th	2 4 9 10 13
2026-07-04	4	4th	1 2 6 10 11
2026-06-30	8	5th	3 4 6 6 10
2026-06-22	1	5th	2 5 7 7 10
2026-06-21	1	5th	2 4 8 9 10
2026-06-20	2	4th	1 5 7 10 11
2026-06-18	1	4th	5 6 6 10 13
2026-06-17	0	4th	1 4 8 10
2026-06-17	6	4th	1 4 8 10
2026-06-11	4	2nd	8 10 11 13 13
2026-06-07	0	4th	5 6 8 10
2026-06-07	3	4th	5 6 8 10
2026-06-04	3	4th	1 4 6 10 11
2026-06-01	2	4th	2 5 6 10 13
2026-05-30	2	4th	2 5 7 10 13
2026-05-28	5	4th	6 7 7 10 12
2026-05-23	1	4th	1 1 3 10 13
2026-05-22	6	5th	1 3 8 9 10
2026-05-16	3	3rd	1 1 10 13 13
2026-05-13	5	4th	1 5 6 10 13
2026-05-08	2	4th	2 4 7 10 12
2026-05-06	6	5th	4 5 5 7 10
2026-04-30	1	5th	1 2 7 7 10
2026-04-29	2	5th	3 4 8 9 10
2026-04-27	2	4th	2 5 6 10 11
2026-04-25	0	3rd	1 4 10 13
2026-04-25	3	3rd	1 4 10 13
2026-04-22	5	4th	4 5 6 10 13
2026-04-17	1	5th	1 2 6 8 10
2026-04-16	1	4th	1 2 6 10 12
2026-04-15	8	3rd	2 7 10 11 13
2026-04-07	1	3rd	5 9 10 12 13
2026-04-06	0	3rd	3 7 10 12
2026-04-06	4	3rd	3 7 10 12
2026-04-02	3	4th	1 4 5 10 12
2026-03-30	1	4th	2 6 9 10 13
2026-03-29	4	3rd	5 9 10 12 12
2026-03-25	3	5th	1 2 6 8 10
2026-03-22	1	5th	2 3 5 9 10
2026-03-21	1	5th	2 2 7 9 10
2026-03-20	3	5th	1 3 4 7 10
2026-03-17	3	4th	5 7 7 10 11
2026-03-14	1	3rd	2 9 10 11 13
2026-03-13	7	5th	1 1 2 9 10
2026-03-06	7	5th	1 7 9 9 10
2026-02-27	3	4th	4 4 5 10 13
2026-02-24	2	3rd	2 7 10 12 13
2026-02-22	0	3rd	2 7 10 11
2026-02-22	1	3rd	2 7 10 11
2026-02-21	2	4th	1 3 3 10 11
2026-02-19	1	4th	6 9 9 10 11
2026-02-18	1	5th	2 7 8 8 10
2026-02-17	1	3rd	4 9 10 12 13
2026-02-16	1	3rd	3 8 10 11 13
2026-02-15	1	5th	2 4 8 8 10
2026-02-14	3	5th	1 5 6 6 10
2026-02-11	4	4th	5 9 9 10 12
2026-02-07	1	5th	2 3 4 7 10
2026-02-06	10	5th	2 4 4 9 10
2026-01-27	1	5th	4 7 8 9 10
2026-01-26	3	5th	4 5 7 8 10
2026-01-23	1	5th	1 5 9 9 10
2026-01-22	4	4th	1 3 9 10 12
2026-01-18	4	4th	5 7 8 10 13
2026-01-14	1	4th	3 4 9 10 13
2026-01-13	5	4th	4 4 8 10 12
2026-01-08	2	4th	4 4 7 10 11
2026-01-06	1	4th	2 4 7 10 11
2026-01-05	6	4th	6 7 8 10 11
2025-12-30	6	4th	5 8 8 10 11
2025-12-24	6	4th	6 7 9 10 12
2025-12-18	3	3rd	3 5 10 13 13
2025-12-15	11	4th	3 6 9 10 13
2025-12-04	2	3rd	4 5 10 11 13
2025-12-02	0	3rd	5 8 10 11
2025-12-02	2	3rd	5 8 10 11
2025-11-30	4	3rd	1 2 10 11 11
2025-11-26	1	5th	1 3 7 8 10
2025-11-25	3	2nd	8 10 11 12 13
2025-11-22	2	4th	1 6 8 10 11
2025-11-20	1	3rd	4 6 10 12 13
2025-11-19	1	3rd	2 7 10 11 12
2025-11-18	2	2nd	3 10 11 11 12
2025-11-16	3	4th	1 5 7 10 13
2025-11-13	1	4th	1 6 7 10 13
2025-11-12	3	5th	1 7 8 8 10
2025-11-09	1	4th	5 8 9 10 12
2025-11-08	1	2nd	6 10 11 12 13
2025-11-07	3	4th	2 4 9 10 11
2025-11-04	3	4th	1 2 5 10 13
2025-11-01	1	3rd	5 9 10 12 13
2025-10-31	3	3rd	4 6 10 11 11
2025-10-28	5	4th	1 2 6 10 13
2025-10-23	4	4th	6 7 8 10 11
2025-10-19	1	4th	6 7 7 10 12
2025-10-18	1	4th	1 1 5 10 13
2025-10-17	0	3rd	3 9 10 13
2025-10-17	1	3rd	3 9 10 13
2025-10-16	1	5th	1 4 6 7 10
2025-10-15	4	5th	1 2 8 9 10
2025-10-11	3	4th	1 4 4 10 12
2025-10-08	0	4th	6 7 9 10
2025-10-08	1	4th	6 7 9 10
2025-10-07	1	2nd	3 10 11 12 12
2025-10-06	2	4th	5 7 7 10 12
2025-10-04	1	4th	2 5 9 10 13
2025-10-03	6	5th	3 6 8 9 10
2025-09-27	6	3rd	4 8 10 11 13
2025-09-21	9	2nd	4 10 11 12 13
2025-09-12	7	2nd	7 10 11 11 13
2025-09-05	2	4th	2 5 7 10 13
2025-09-03	3	5th	1 2 8 9 10
2025-08-31	1	4th	1 5 7 10 11
2025-08-30	1	4th	2 3 6 10 12
2025-08-29	3	4th	2 9 9 10 11
2025-08-26	1	4th	3 4 9 10 12
2025-08-25	2	3rd	4 5 10 13 13
2025-08-23	2	3rd	2 4 10 11 12
2025-08-21	1	2nd	7 10 12 13 13
2025-08-20	0	4th	3 4 7 10
2025-08-20	2	4th	3 4 7 10
2025-08-18	0	3rd	2 7 10 12
2025-08-18	1	3rd	2 7 10 12
2025-08-17	1	4th	2 2 3 10 13
2025-08-16	—	4th	3 8 8 10 12