In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/6 · since Apr 2023 rules — 525 draws, 1 from 0–6.
88times drawn · chance expected 75 +1.62σ
3draws waiting · a wait this long: 73% for any number
5.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
21longest completed wait · 98% chance of one at least that long
4 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 88 times in 525 draws against 75.0 expected, +1.62σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
4
Number 4, draw by draw
Drawn 88 times in 525 draws · average wait 5.9 draws · longest completed wait 21 · waiting 3 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 6 of the other 6 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 3rd most popular of 7. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 1/7 tonight whatever it did last week.
Megabucks Plus number 4 (star deck) — how often, how long a wait, and with whom — LotteryOracle