Monday, 6 January 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (7, 29) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 December 2024 — its closest relative in 246 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 January 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 50% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (14% expected).

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 112 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 105. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 42% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.