In MultiMatch under the 6/43 · since Sep 2025 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–43.
19times drawn · chance expected 15 +1.09σ
17draws waiting · a wait this long: 9% for any number
4.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2
19longest completed wait · 71% chance of one at least that long
38 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 19 times in 108 draws against 15.1 expected, +1.09σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
38
Number 38, draw by draw
Drawn 19 times in 108 draws · average wait 4.7 draws · longest completed wait 19 · waiting 17 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 42 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.