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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In MultiMatch under the 6/43 · since Sep 2025 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–43.
Drawn 9 times in 108 draws against 15.1 expected, −1.69σ. Each draw is independent: after 25 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 9 times in 108 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 16 · waiting 25 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 11 of the other 42 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 91215202231 |
| 2026-04-27 | 11 | 2nd | 11517414243 |
| 2026-03-19 | 2 | 3rd | 31415192738 |
| 2026-03-12 | 11 | 2nd | 91524262735 |
| 2026-02-02 | 16 | 2nd | 91522273940 |
| 2025-12-08 | — | 2nd | 21518323943 |