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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Bonus Match 5 · every number

1

Number 1

In Bonus Match 5 under the 6/38 · since Aug 2026 rules — 6 draws, 6 from 1–38.

6/38 · since Aug 20265/39 + 1/39 · Nov 2016 – Aug 20265/39 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2016
1times drawn · chance expected 1 +0.06σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 60% for any number
—average wait between appearances · chance says 6.3
—no completed wait yet
1 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 1 times in 6 draws against 0.9 expected, +0.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

1

Number 1, draw by draw

Drawn 1 times in 6 draws · waiting 4 draws now

Still waiting — at least 4 draws since 2026-08-242026-08-242026-08-232026-08-28

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Too few completed waits to plot a distribution for this number alone.

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest1 · chance 1.0
  • 2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

611162430

Never drawn alongside 32 of the other 37 numbers; chance expects about 32 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 38. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2026-08-24—1st1611162430
Lowest in the poolEvery numbernumber 2 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 6/38 tonight whatever it did last week.