Megabucks · every number
21
Number 21 In Megabucks under the 6/49 · since Jan 2010 rules — 1,904 draws, 6 from 1–49.
200 times drawn · chance expected 233 −2.32σ
6 draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number
9.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2
43 longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long
21 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 200 times in 1,904 draws against 233.1 expected, −2.32σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
21 Number 21, draw by draw Drawn 200 times in 1,904 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 6 draws now
20 draws: 2010-01-06 to 2010-03-17 2 draws: 2010-03-17 to 2010-03-24 11 draws: 2010-03-24 to 2010-05-01 9 draws: 2010-05-01 to 2010-06-02 25 draws: 2010-06-02 to 2010-08-28 21 draws: 2010-08-28 to 2010-11-10 14 draws: 2010-11-10 to 2010-12-29 6 draws: 2010-12-29 to 2011-01-19 6 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-02-09 1 draws: 2011-02-09 to 2011-02-12 4 draws: 2011-02-12 to 2011-02-26 7 draws: 2011-02-26 to 2011-03-23 15 draws: 2011-03-23 to 2011-05-14 2 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-05-21 25 draws: 2011-05-21 to 2011-08-17 40 draws: 2011-08-17 to 2012-01-04 13 draws: 2012-01-04 to 2012-02-18 42 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-07-14 11 draws: 2012-07-14 to 2012-08-22 5 draws: 2012-08-22 to 2012-09-08 4 draws: 2012-09-08 to 2012-09-22 15 draws: 2012-09-22 to 2012-11-14 5 draws: 2012-11-14 to 2012-12-01 15 draws: 2012-12-01 to 2013-01-23 2 draws: 2013-01-23 to 2013-01-30 11 draws: 2013-01-30 to 2013-03-09 4 draws: 2013-03-09 to 2013-03-23 14 draws: 2013-03-23 to 2013-05-11 2 draws: 2013-05-11 to 2013-05-18 7 draws: 2013-05-18 to 2013-06-12 1 draws: 2013-06-12 to 2013-06-15 5 draws: 2013-06-15 to 2013-07-03 9 draws: 2013-07-03 to 2013-08-03 17 draws: 2013-08-03 to 2013-10-02 1 draws: 2013-10-02 to 2013-10-05 8 draws: 2013-10-05 to 2013-11-02 23 draws: 2013-11-02 to 2014-01-22 4 draws: 2014-01-22 to 2014-02-05 3 draws: 2014-02-05 to 2014-02-15 13 draws: 2014-02-15 to 2014-04-02 9 draws: 2014-04-02 to 2014-05-03 10 draws: 2014-05-03 to 2014-06-07 3 draws: 2014-06-07 to 2014-06-18 9 draws: 2014-06-18 to 2014-07-19 43 draws: 2014-07-19 to 2014-12-17 9 draws: 2014-12-17 to 2015-01-17 5 draws: 2015-01-17 to 2015-02-04 25 draws: 2015-02-04 to 2015-05-02 7 draws: 2015-05-02 to 2015-05-27 9 draws: 2015-05-27 to 2015-06-27 1 draws: 2015-06-27 to 2015-07-01 21 draws: 2015-07-01 to 2015-09-12 10 draws: 2015-09-12 to 2015-10-17 8 draws: 2015-10-17 to 2015-11-14 6 draws: 2015-11-14 to 2015-12-05 3 draws: 2015-12-05 to 2015-12-16 1 draws: 2015-12-16 to 2015-12-19 22 draws: 2015-12-19 to 2016-03-05 3 draws: 2016-03-05 to 2016-03-16 1 draws: 2016-03-16 to 2016-03-19 11 draws: 2016-03-19 to 2016-04-27 2 draws: 2016-04-27 to 2016-05-04 17 draws: 2016-05-04 to 2016-07-02 4 draws: 2016-07-02 to 2016-07-16 26 draws: 2016-07-16 to 2016-10-15 8 draws: 2016-10-15 to 2016-11-12 5 draws: 2016-11-12 to 2016-11-30 3 draws: 2016-11-30 to 2016-12-10 1 draws: 2016-12-10 to 2016-12-14 13 draws: 2016-12-14 to 2017-01-28 9 draws: 2017-01-28 to 2017-03-01 4 draws: 2017-03-01 to 2017-03-15 9 draws: 2017-03-15 to 2017-04-15 13 draws: 2017-04-15 to 2017-05-31 4 draws: 2017-05-31 to 2017-06-14 20 draws: 2017-06-14 to 2017-08-23 2 draws: 2017-08-23 to 2017-08-30 1 draws: 2017-08-30 to 2017-09-02 5 draws: 2017-09-02 to 2017-09-20 10 draws: 2017-09-20 to 2017-10-25 5 draws: 2017-10-25 to 2017-11-11 13 draws: 2017-11-11 to 2017-12-27 1 draws: 2017-12-27 to 2017-12-30 4 draws: 2017-12-30 to 2018-01-13 14 draws: 2018-01-13 to 2018-03-03 2 draws: 2018-03-03 to 2018-03-10 4 draws: 2018-03-10 to 2018-03-24 8 draws: 2018-03-24 to 2018-04-21 15 draws: 2018-04-21 to 2018-06-13 13 draws: 2018-06-13 to 2018-07-28 3 draws: 2018-07-28 to 2018-08-08 3 draws: 2018-08-08 to 2018-08-18 13 draws: 2018-08-18 to 2018-10-03 8 draws: 2018-10-03 to 2018-10-31 8 draws: 2018-10-31 to 2018-11-28 5 draws: 2018-11-28 to 2018-12-15 13 draws: 2018-12-15 to 2019-01-30 37 draws: 2019-01-30 to 2019-06-08 10 draws: 2019-06-08 to 2019-07-13 23 draws: 2019-07-13 to 2019-10-02 2 draws: 2019-10-02 to 2019-10-09 2 draws: 2019-10-09 to 2019-10-16 3 draws: 2019-10-16 to 2019-10-26 8 draws: 2019-10-26 to 2019-11-23 8 draws: 2019-11-23 to 2019-12-21 2 draws: 2019-12-21 to 2019-12-28 4 draws: 2019-12-28 to 2020-01-11 18 draws: 2020-01-11 to 2020-03-14 7 draws: 2020-03-14 to 2020-04-08 7 draws: 2020-04-08 to 2020-05-02 1 draws: 2020-05-02 to 2020-05-06 23 draws: 2020-05-06 to 2020-07-25 1 draws: 2020-07-25 to 2020-07-29 1 draws: 2020-07-29 to 2020-08-01 6 draws: 2020-08-01 to 2020-08-22 17 draws: 2020-08-22 to 2020-10-21 10 draws: 2020-10-21 to 2020-11-25 5 draws: 2020-11-25 to 2020-12-12 1 draws: 2020-12-12 to 2020-12-16 8 draws: 2020-12-16 to 2021-01-13 10 draws: 2021-01-13 to 2021-02-17 17 draws: 2021-02-17 to 2021-04-17 4 draws: 2021-04-17 to 2021-05-01 14 draws: 2021-05-01 to 2021-06-19 3 draws: 2021-06-19 to 2021-06-30 12 draws: 2021-06-30 to 2021-08-11 6 draws: 2021-08-11 to 2021-09-01 2 draws: 2021-09-01 to 2021-09-08 9 draws: 2021-09-08 to 2021-10-09 17 draws: 2021-10-09 to 2021-12-08 17 draws: 2021-12-08 to 2022-02-05 12 draws: 2022-02-05 to 2022-03-19 34 draws: 2022-03-19 to 2022-07-16 1 draws: 2022-07-16 to 2022-07-20 11 draws: 2022-07-20 to 2022-08-27 6 draws: 2022-08-27 to 2022-09-17 9 draws: 2022-09-17 to 2022-10-19 3 draws: 2022-10-19 to 2022-10-29 6 draws: 2022-10-29 to 2022-11-19 5 draws: 2022-11-19 to 2022-12-07 2 draws: 2022-12-07 to 2022-12-14 20 draws: 2022-12-14 to 2023-02-22 6 draws: 2023-02-22 to 2023-03-15 3 draws: 2023-03-15 to 2023-03-25 8 draws: 2023-03-25 to 2023-04-22 13 draws: 2023-04-22 to 2023-06-07 2 draws: 2023-06-07 to 2023-06-14 7 draws: 2023-06-14 to 2023-07-08 6 draws: 2023-07-08 to 2023-07-29 7 draws: 2023-07-29 to 2023-08-23 33 draws: 2023-08-23 to 2023-12-04 12 draws: 2023-12-04 to 2024-01-01 7 draws: 2024-01-01 to 2024-01-17 16 draws: 2024-01-17 to 2024-02-24 25 draws: 2024-02-24 to 2024-04-22 4 draws: 2024-04-22 to 2024-05-01 10 draws: 2024-05-01 to 2024-05-25 38 draws: 2024-05-25 to 2024-08-21 2 draws: 2024-08-21 to 2024-08-26 7 draws: 2024-08-26 to 2024-09-11 2 draws: 2024-09-11 to 2024-09-16 16 draws: 2024-09-16 to 2024-10-23 2 draws: 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-28 5 draws: 2024-10-28 to 2024-11-09 12 draws: 2024-11-09 to 2024-12-07 15 draws: 2024-12-07 to 2025-01-11 12 draws: 2025-01-11 to 2025-02-08 11 draws: 2025-02-08 to 2025-03-05 8 draws: 2025-03-05 to 2025-03-24 6 draws: 2025-03-24 to 2025-04-07 2 draws: 2025-04-07 to 2025-04-12 1 draws: 2025-04-12 to 2025-04-14 14 draws: 2025-04-14 to 2025-05-17 2 draws: 2025-05-17 to 2025-05-21 10 draws: 2025-05-21 to 2025-06-14 5 draws: 2025-06-14 to 2025-06-25 7 draws: 2025-06-25 to 2025-07-12 6 draws: 2025-07-12 to 2025-07-26 5 draws: 2025-07-26 to 2025-08-06 4 draws: 2025-08-06 to 2025-08-16 5 draws: 2025-08-16 to 2025-08-27 5 draws: 2025-08-27 to 2025-09-08 2 draws: 2025-09-08 to 2025-09-13 27 draws: 2025-09-13 to 2025-11-15 5 draws: 2025-11-15 to 2025-11-26 2 draws: 2025-11-26 to 2025-12-01 6 draws: 2025-12-01 to 2025-12-15 4 draws: 2025-12-15 to 2025-12-24 11 draws: 2025-12-24 to 2026-01-19 3 draws: 2026-01-19 to 2026-01-26 4 draws: 2026-01-26 to 2026-02-04 16 draws: 2026-02-04 to 2026-03-14 11 draws: 2026-03-14 to 2026-04-08 9 draws: 2026-04-08 to 2026-04-29 2 draws: 2026-04-29 to 2026-05-04 7 draws: 2026-05-04 to 2026-05-20 23 draws: 2026-05-20 to 2026-07-13 24 draws: 2026-07-13 to 2026-09-07 9 draws: 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-28 Still waiting — at least 6 draws since 2026-09-28 2010-01-06 2010-03-17 2010-03-24 2010-05-01 2010-06-02 2010-08-28 2010-11-10 2010-12-29 2011-01-19 2011-02-09 2011-02-12 2011-02-26 2011-03-23 2011-05-14 2011-05-21 2011-08-17 2012-01-04 2012-02-18 2012-07-14 2012-08-22 2012-09-08 2012-09-22 2012-11-14 2012-12-01 2013-01-23 2013-01-30 2013-03-09 2013-03-23 2013-05-11 2013-05-18 2013-06-12 2013-06-15 2013-07-03 2013-08-03 2013-10-02 2013-10-05 2013-11-02 2014-01-22 2014-02-05 2014-02-15 2014-04-02 2014-05-03 2014-06-07 2014-06-18 2014-07-19 2014-12-17 2015-01-17 2015-02-04 2015-05-02 2015-05-27 2015-06-27 2015-07-01 2015-09-12 2015-10-17 2015-11-14 2015-12-05 2015-12-16 2015-12-19 2016-03-05 2016-03-16 2016-03-19 2016-04-27 2016-05-04 2016-07-02 2016-07-16 2016-10-15 2016-11-12 2016-11-30 2016-12-10 2016-12-14 2017-01-28 2017-03-01 2017-03-15 2017-04-15 2017-05-31 2017-06-14 2017-08-23 2017-08-30 2017-09-02 2017-09-20 2017-10-25 2017-11-11 2017-12-27 2017-12-30 2018-01-13 2018-03-03 2018-03-10 2018-03-24 2018-04-21 2018-06-13 2018-07-28 2018-08-08 2018-08-18 2018-10-03 2018-10-31 2018-11-28 2018-12-15 2019-01-30 2019-06-08 2019-07-13 2019-10-02 2019-10-09 2019-10-16 2019-10-26 2019-11-23 2019-12-21 2019-12-28 2020-01-11 2020-03-14 2020-04-08 2020-05-02 2020-05-06 2020-07-25 2020-07-29 2020-08-01 2020-08-22 2020-10-21 2020-11-25 2020-12-12 2020-12-16 2021-01-13 2021-02-17 2021-04-17 2021-05-01 2021-06-19 2021-06-30 2021-08-11 2021-09-01 2021-09-08 2021-10-09 2021-12-08 2022-02-05 2022-03-19 2022-07-16 2022-07-20 2022-08-27 2022-09-17 2022-10-19 2022-10-29 2022-11-19 2022-12-07 2022-12-14 2023-02-22 2023-03-15 2023-03-25 2023-04-22 2023-06-07 2023-06-14 2023-07-08 2023-07-29 2023-08-23 2023-12-04 2024-01-01 2024-01-17 2024-02-24 2024-04-22 2024-05-01 2024-05-25 2024-08-21 2024-08-26 2024-09-11 2024-09-16 2024-10-23 2024-10-28 2024-11-09 2024-12-07 2025-01-11 2025-02-08 2025-03-05 2025-03-24 2025-04-07 2025-04-12 2025-04-14 2025-05-17 2025-05-21 2025-06-14 2025-06-25 2025-07-12 2025-07-26 2025-08-06 2025-08-16 2025-08-27 2025-09-08 2025-09-13 2025-11-15 2025-11-26 2025-12-01 2025-12-15 2025-12-24 2026-01-19 2026-01-26 2026-02-04 2026-03-14 2026-04-08 2026-04-29 2026-05-04 2026-05-20 2026-07-13 2026-09-07 2026-09-28 2010-01-02 2026-10-12 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 15 times 2 draws: 21 times 3 draws: 12 times 4 draws: 15 times 5 draws: 16 times 6 draws: 12 times 7 draws: 11 times 8 draws: 11 times 9 draws: 12 times 10 draws: 8 times 11 draws: 8 times 12 draws: 5 times 13 draws: 9 times 14 draws: 5 times 15 draws: 5 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 6 times 18 draws: 1 time 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 3 times 21 draws: 2 times 22 draws: 1 time 23 draws: 4 times 24 draws: 1 time 25 draws: 4 times 26 draws: 1 time 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 0 times 29 draws: 0 times 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 0 times 32 draws: 0 times 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 1 time 35 draws: 0 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 1 time 38 draws: 1 time 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 1 time 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 1 time 43 draws: 1 time 44 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 21 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 12 · chance 11.5 2nd smallest 50 · chance 47.8 3rd smallest 60 · chance 72.7 4th smallest 58 · chance 50.3 5th smallest 20 · chance 15.8 6th smallest 0 · chance 1.8 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 20.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 21 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 21 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 20 Every number number 22 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 21 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.