Number 4

In Lotto America under the 5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017 rules — 1,152 draws, 5 from 1–52.

121times drawn · chance expected 111 +1.02σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

9.6average wait between appearances · chance says 10.4

71longest completed wait · 10% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 121 times in 1,152 draws against 110.8 expected, +1.02σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 121 times in 1,152 draws · average wait 9.6 draws · longest completed wait 71 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest97 · chance 94.2
2nd smallest24 · chance 25.1
3rd smallest0 · chance 1.6
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 9.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17 44 23 25 1 5

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-12	14	1st	4 22 26 40 45
2026-09-09	3	2nd	3 4 44 47 49
2026-09-02	37	2nd	2 4 16 39 45
2026-06-08	10	1st	4 23 25

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-04-19	5	1st	4 11 23 29 36
2025-04-07	8	1st	4 8 13 27 37
2025-03-19	3	1st	4 8 26 34 36
2025-03-12	15	1st	4 17 21 28 48
2025-02-05	7	1st	4 13 17 44 45
2025-01-20	5	2nd	2 4 22 23 32
2025-01-08	6	1st	4 15 33 39 41
2024-12-25	1	1st	4 5 40 42 52
2024-12-23	5	1st	4 21 28 42 52
2024-12-11	5	1st	4 14 30 45 50
2024-11-30	6	1st	4 5 10 15 44
2024-11-16	11	1st	4 5 7 24 29
2024-10-21	13	2nd	1 4 20 24 26
2024-09-21	2	2nd	1 4 8 37 45
2024-09-16	4	1st	4 16 41 44 52
2024-09-07	9	2nd	1 4 9 33 37
2024-08-17	71	1st	4 26 38 42 50
2024-03-04	6	1st	4 5 8 22 47
2024-02-19	24	1st	4 14 31 37 41
2023-12-25	2	1st	4 10 25 48 52
2023-12-20	3	1st	4 14 15 17 28
2023-12-13	4	1st	4 25 34 38 46
2023-12-04	26	1st	4 16 18 36 47
2023-10-04	1	1st	4 5 8 26 42
2023-10-02	1	1st	4 5 21 36 51
2023-09-30	5	1st	4 5 26 27 35
2023-09-18	13	1st	4 24 25 32 51
2023-08-19	5	1st	4 22 29 32 39
2023-08-07	5	1st	4 8 29 33 52
2023-07-26	17	1st	4 8 25 36 42
2023-06-17	3	1st	4 23 26 35 36
2023-06-10	4	1st	4 6 38 46 52
2023-05-31	5	1st	4 15 27 28 49
2023-05-20	38	1st	4 11 15 18 19
2023-02-20	5	1st	4 10 19 27 39
2023-02-08	1	1st	4 5 29 36 37
2023-02-06	18	2nd	3 4 20 32 35
2022-12-26	3	1st	4 11 26 49 51
2022-12-19	6	1st	4 10 25 34 50
2022-12-05	15	1st	4 13 17 24 34
2022-10-31	9	1st	4 23 26 48 51
2022-10-10	1	1st	4 8 14 32 44
2022-10-08	16	2nd	1 4 9 14 49
2022-08-31	1	1st	4 22 41 43 52
2022-08-29	5	1st	4 16 17 22 43
2022-08-17	3	1st	4 17 23 37 38
2022-08-10	24	1st	4 6 15 44 50
2022-06-01	17	1st	4 9 10 15 30
2022-04-02	6	2nd	3 4 11 43 44
2022-03-12	10	1st	4 19 22 43 48
2022-02-05	9	2nd	2 4 22 31 35
2022-01-05	12	2nd	1 4 17 45 50
2021-11-24	6	1st	4 10 34 49 52
2021-11-03	30	1st	4 8 10 32 40
2021-07-21	4	1st	4 12 17 23 52
2021-07-07	2	2nd	1 4 19 24 43
2021-06-30	6	1st	4 6 14 25 32
2021-06-09	3	1st	4 39 46 48 52
2021-05-29	1	1st	4 16 18 34 42
2021-05-26	5	1st	4 14 21 31 40
2021-05-08	5	1st	4 32 34 41 44
2021-04-21	12	1st	4 41 42 44 45
2021-03-10	18	1st	4 15 31 36 39
2021-01-06	8	1st	4 8 17 25 44
2020-12-09	12	1st	4 8 20 23 50
2020-10-28	4	1st	4 14 35 41 43
2020-10-14	13	1st	4 14 24 25 33
2020-08-29	17	1st	4 5 9 13 51
2020-07-01	3	1st	4 22 24 30 35
2020-06-20	36	1st	4 18 27 30 48
2020-02-15	7	1st	4 9 12 23 32
2020-01-22	8	1st	4 6 11 21 23
2019-12-25	1	1st	4 11 20 35 45
2019-12-21	1	1st	4 17 29 40 51
2019-12-18	7	2nd	1 4 17 18 30
2019-11-23	1	1st	4 5 18 43 46
2019-11-20	32	2nd	1 4 29 46 47
2019-07-31	4	1st	4 13 21 41 46
2019-07-17	5	1st	4 7 17 19 44
2019-06-29	4	1st	4 30 40 42 48
2019-06-15	1	1st	4 12 23 24 31
2019-06-12	5	1st	4 12 15 38 49
2019-05-25	3	1st	4 16 28 45 51
2019-05-15	16	1st	4 19 23 35 44
2019-03-20	15	1st	4 21 22 38 42
2019-01-26	1	1st	4 11 23 31 35
2019-01-23	19	2nd	1 4 27 34 47
2018-11-17	7	1st	4 6 11 43 52
2018-10-24	13	1st	4 11 12 19 34
2018-09-08	19	1st	4 11 34 50 52
2018-07-04	13	1st	4 12 16 22 44
2018-05-19	30	1st	4 8 17 25 31
2018-02-03	10	2nd	1 4 41 44 45
2017-12-30	1	1st	4 7 10 14 17
2017-12-27	8	1st	4 30 38 47 48
2017-11-29	3	2nd	1 4 5 16 38
2017-11-18	—	1st	4 25 26 41 47