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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto America · draw

Wednesday, 4 July 2018

ResultLotto America

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 22
  5. 44
  6. 3

Jackpot$4,440,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/52 + 1/10 · since Nov 2017draw 67 of 1,155 under them

← 2018-06-30All recent draws2018-07-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:46 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 12 16 22 44 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:31 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd1th
  • low90th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

46times
124times
167times
229times
44

Prize breakdown · 2018-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 435kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$211.9Kto 46k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • match_2_1_b12%$25.9K
  • match_1_1_b26%$55.2K
  • match_0_1_b43%$91.7K
  • 4 other tiers18%$39.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

35times

Every number was expected about that many times after 66 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 16) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 April 2018 — its closest relative in 66 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 41% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 133. No two numbers side by side. 34% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,440,000
  • match_5_0_b2 rows folded in0≈ 0.15 by chance$20,000
  • match_4_1_b2 rows folded in3≈ 3.9 by chance$1,000
  • match_4_0_b2 rows folded in59≈ 35 by chance$100
  • match_3_1_b2 rows folded in213≈ 181 by chance$20.00
  • match_3_0_b2 rows folded in1,983≈ 1.6k by chance$5.00
  • match_2_1_b2 rows folded in2,821≈ 2.7k by chance$5.00
  • match_1_1_b2 rows folded in15,394≈ 15k by chance$2.00
  • match_0_1_b2 rows folded in25,687≈ 26k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈435k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: match_3_0_b — 1,983 winners, 22% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball18,971$2.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball11,326$2.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball2,038$5.00
    Match 31,424$5.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball165$20.00
    Match 443$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball3$1,000
    Match 50$20,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$4,440,000
    match_0_1_b6,716$8.00
    match_1_1_b4,068$8.00
    match_2_1_b783$20.00
    match_3_0_b559$20.00
    match_3_1_b48$80.00
    match_4_0_b16$400
    match_4_1_b0$4,000
    match_5_0_b0$80,000