Number 15

In Lotto under the 6/42 · since Aug 2020 rules — 642 draws, 6 from 1–42.

103times drawn · chance expected 92 +1.27σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 63% for any number

6.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

39longest completed wait · 25% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 103 times in 642 draws against 91.7 expected, +1.27σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 103 times in 642 draws · average wait 6.2 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest7 · chance 11.1
2nd smallest31 · chance 33.8
3rd smallest46 · chance 36.6
4th smallest19 · chance 17.6
5th smallest0 · chance 3.7
6th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

12 16 36 19 4 10

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 41 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 42. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-26	1	3rd	2 13 15 19 21 33
2026-09-23	3	3rd	7 8 15 19 29 41
2026-09-12	4	3rd	6 7 15 22 24 26
2026-08-29	12	2nd	13

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/42 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-08-20	4	2nd	13 15 29 31 32 33
2025-08-06	5	3rd	5 7 15 23 33 38
2025-07-19	3	2nd	6 15 23 37 39 41
2025-07-09	1	4th	4 7 14 15 24 41
2025-07-05	1	4th	3 8 14 15 16 23
2025-07-02	14	4th	4 6 12 15 16 24
2025-05-14	8	2nd	10 15 21 24 26 27
2025-04-16	1	3rd	6 12 15 17 23 26
2025-04-12	4	3rd	10 12 15 19 21 40
2025-03-29	7	4th	4 5 12 15 23 40
2025-03-05	1	4th	7 11 13 15 18 20
2025-03-01	1	4th	4 10 14 15 26 32
2025-02-26	3	1st	15 16 22 30 34 39
2025-02-15	24	2nd	1 15 18 19 41 42
2024-11-20	39	4th	1 12 14 15 23 24
2024-07-06	12	1st	15 27 28 32 34 37
2024-05-25	11	2nd	12 15 16 26 30 40
2024-04-17	4	3rd	1 9 15 19 21 26
2024-04-03	4	2nd	1 15 18 19 22 29
2024-03-20	7	1st	15 16 26 27 34 36
2024-02-24	6	3rd	4 14 15 24 31 35
2024-02-03	14	4th	2 7 11 15 18 21
2023-12-16	7	4th	4 8 10 15 16 36
2023-11-22	5	4th	10 12 14 15 20 36
2023-11-04	4	3rd	5 8 15 20 23 38
2023-10-21	7	2nd	11 15 18 22 23 36
2023-09-27	3	2nd	11 15 16 22 38 41
2023-09-16	8	3rd	2 12 15 18 21 25
2023-08-19	5	3rd	6 12 15 20 29 35
2023-08-02	2	3rd	5 9 15 29 31 40
2023-07-26	2	2nd	10 15 20 27 28 36
2023-07-19	3	2nd	5 15 17 26 30 41
2023-07-08	11	2nd	6 15 16 24 28 32
2023-05-31	3	3rd	10 12 15 20 33 36
2023-05-20	22	2nd	4 15 21 22 27 42
2023-03-04	1	2nd	1 15 20 24 34 38
2023-03-01	7	4th	2 4 9 15 22 38
2023-02-04	4	3rd	2 3 15 16 22 37
2023-01-21	11	3rd	4 12 15 17 22 31
2022-12-14	7	3rd	10 14 15 16 17 37
2022-11-19	11	3rd	3 10 15 20 36 42
2022-10-12	8	2nd	2 15 24 28 35 36
2022-09-14	8	4th	2 11 12 15 25 33
2022-08-17	2	3rd	6 7 15 19 21 41
2022-08-10	1	3rd	2 11 15 25 36 39
2022-08-06	1	2nd	6 15 16 31 36 40
2022-08-03	1	2nd	4 15 20 25 27 30
2022-07-30	10	4th	4 5 11 15 18 29
2022-06-25	7	2nd	3 15 17 18 27 29
2022-06-01	8	3rd	1 4 15 26 27 42
2022-05-04	11	2nd	2 15 19 26 32 36
2022-03-26	2	2nd	13 15 18 23 25 36
2022-03-19	7	3rd	8 14 15 30 34 41
2022-02-23	9	3rd	2 3 15 16 18 38
2022-01-22	1	1st	15 24 29 32 34 41
2022-01-19	8	3rd	4 9 15 18 21 34
2021-12-18	6	3rd	2 3 15 21 25 28
2021-11-27	21	2nd	5 15 24 25 36 42
2021-09-15	4	4th	1 3 7 15 18 19
2021-09-01	1	1st	15 16 19 27 38 39
2021-08-28	2	3rd	9 14 15 28 36 39
2021-08-21	7	3rd	2 14 15 18 20 28
2021-07-28	2	3rd	4 8 15 19 23 27
2021-07-21	6	3rd	1 3 15 21 27 32
2021-06-30	4	4th	1 2 14 15 22 36
2021-06-16	6	3rd	1 12 15 19 32 38
2021-05-26	6	2nd	1 15 16 20 26 31
2021-05-05	4	2nd	11 15 16 22 26 39
2021-04-21	10	2nd	13 15 25 27 29 35
2021-03-17	11	2nd	8 15 18 24 27 29
2021-02-06	9	3rd	1 12 15 23 30 40
2021-01-06	2	1st	15 21 25 29 32 40
2020-12-30	5	3rd	5 13 15 27 35 38
2020-12-12	6	4th	8 13 14 15 22 28
2020-11-21	7	4th	6 10 13 15 26 42
2020-10-28	10	3rd	3 12 15 17 20 29
2020-09-23	4	4th	2 7 8 15 31 40
2020-09-09	6	3rd	6 9 15 17 25 33
2020-08-19	—	3rd	10 11 15 22 24 38