Saturday, 22 January 2022

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (24, 29, 32, 41) with the draw of 26 June 2021 — its closest relative in 150 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 January 2022): 15, 34 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 175 — the 95th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. No two numbers side by side. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 36% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.