In Lotto under the 6/50 + 1/25 · since Apr 2025 rules — 228 draws, 6 from 1–50.
27times drawn · chance expected 27 −0.07σ
6draws waiting · a wait this long: 53% for any number
8.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.3
31longest completed wait · 43% chance of one at least that long
40 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 27 times in 228 draws against 27.4 expected, −0.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
40
Number 40, draw by draw
Drawn 27 times in 228 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 3 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/50 tonight whatever it did last week.