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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 26 November 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 16
  3. 28
  4. 33
  5. 38
  6. 23

Jackpot$10,000,000

The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 199 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-11-23All recent draws2011-11-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 16 28 33 38 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap25th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

1530times
1621times
2812times
3327times
38

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-26

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$622.7Kto 149k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$105.7K
  • Match 330%$186.9K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$94.4K
  • 5 other tiers38%$235.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

2310times

Every number was expected about that many times after 198 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (15, 16) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 July 2011 — its closest relative in 198 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$10,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.2 by chance$26,566
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball26≈ 18 by chance$1,021
  • Match 4452≈ 467 by chance$97.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball730≈ 736 by chance$54.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball9,609≈ 9.8k by chance$11.00
  • Match 318,690≈ 19k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball47,215≈ 48k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball72,690≈ 73k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,690 winners, 2% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$10,000,000
    Match 52$26,566
    Match 4 + Mega Ball26$1,021
    Match 4452$97.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball730$54.00
    Match 318,690$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball9,609$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball47,215$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball72,690$1.00
    Totals149,414—