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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 30 November 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 6
  3. 22
  4. 32
  5. 45
  6. 8

Jackpot$11,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 200 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-11-26All recent draws2011-12-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 6 22 32 45 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum36th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap53th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

423times
626times
2222times
3218times
45

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-30

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$592.9Kto 163k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$99.8K
  • Match 333%$194.7K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball13%$78.7K
  • 5 other tiers37%$219.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

811times

Every number was expected about that many times after 199 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 32) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 December 2010 — its closest relative in 199 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$11,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.4 by chance$54,283
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball22≈ 19 by chance$1,233
  • Match 4442≈ 505 by chance$102
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball824≈ 796 by chance$49.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball11,087≈ 11k by chance$9.00
  • Match 319,471≈ 21k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball52,833≈ 52k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball78,687≈ 79k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 442 winners, 12% fewer than the 505 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$11,000,000
    Match 51$54,283
    Match 4 + Mega Ball22$1,233
    Match 4442$102
    Match 3 + Mega Ball824$49.00
    Match 319,471$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball11,087$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball52,833$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball78,687$1.00
    Totals163,367—