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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 23 November 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 13
  3. 30
  4. 31
  5. 45
  6. 2

Jackpot$9,000,000

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 198 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-11-19All recent draws2011-11-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 13 30 31 45 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

625times
1328times
3019times
3120times
45

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$622.9Kto 147k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$101.5K
  • Match 331%$191.1K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$91.7K
  • 5 other tiers38%$238.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

28times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

24times

Every number was expected about that many times after 197 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 31, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 August 2011 — its closest relative in 197 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 68% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 November 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$9,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.1 by chance$54,865
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball14≈ 17 by chance$1,959
  • Match 4440≈ 449 by chance$103
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball662≈ 707 by chance$62.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball9,230≈ 9.4k by chance$11.00
  • Match 321,231≈ 18k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball45,857≈ 46k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball69,878≈ 70k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 21,231 winners, 15% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$9,000,000
    Match 51$54,865
    Match 4 + Mega Ball14$1,959
    Match 4440$103
    Match 3 + Mega Ball662$62.00
    Match 321,231$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball9,230$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball45,857$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball69,878$1.00
    Totals147,313—